As predicted, the 2026 election was all about the maths. With National winning more electorate seats than its party vote would have delivered, and Te Pāti Māori taking five Māori seats, there is a provisional parliamentary overhang of nine…
SyndicatedDigital Storytelling Team, The Conversation2 min read
Preliminary results from Saturday’s New Zealand election indicate there are a total of 11 overhang seats, with parliament expanded from its nominal 120 seats to 131.
SyndicatedAdrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne3 min read
New Zealand’s provisional election results have created considerable uncertainty, and may feel frustrating for many voters. But fortunately there are guidelines for the parties and for the process of government during this limbo period.
SyndicatedGrant Duncan, Research Associate, Public Policy Institute, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau4 min read
“New Zealand has spoken,” Labour leader Chris Hipkins said to the party faithful on election night, before adding: “It may take us a little bit longer to figure out exactly what it is that you’ve said.”
SyndicatedRichard Shaw, Professor of Politics, Te Kunenga ki Pūrehuroa – Massey University5 min read
The Rugby League World Cup (RLWC) reaches its semi-finals this weekend, in a tournament that’s been marked by upsets, nail-biting finishes and some lopsided scorelines.
SyndicatedJesse Whitehead, Senior Research Fellow, Te Ngira Institute for Population Research, University of Waikato4 min read
On the eve of New Zealand’s general election, final polls show the right retaining its lead, but with support continuing to shift towards the left, and the centrist Opportunity Party potentially holding the balance of power.
SyndicatedAdrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne3 min read
SyndicatedGuus Kroonen, Associate Professor, Scandinavian, Germanic and Indo-European Comparative Linguistics, Leiden University; University of Copenhagen5 min read
SyndicatedAdrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne7 min read